The truth hurts: National Intelligence Director Dennis Blair testifies before Congress.
The
aborted appointment of Charles "Chas" Freeman as chairman of the
National Intelligence Council inflicts multiple costs on the U.S.
national interest, some of which Freeman enumerated in
characteristically lucid fashion in his withdrawal statement
(reproduced at The Cable). The affair demonstrates anew the strength of
the taboo against open and candid discussion in the United States of
policy involving Israel. It thus perpetuates damage from U.S. policies
in the Middle East formed without benefit of such discussion. It also
perpetuates damage to the ultimate interests of Israel itself, where,
ironically, no comparable taboo prevails. Not least, the Freeman matter
demonstrates the power of calumny and misrepresentation to kill
something as desirable as the appointment of an experienced and
insightful public servant.
Less immediately apparent but also
serious is the damage to objectivity and professionalism in the U.S.
intelligence community. Intelligence officers can see through the smoke
screens thrown up by Freeman's attackers, involving Saudi donations or
out-of-context comments about China, and perceive the affair as exactly
what it is: the enforcement of political orthodoxy about U.S. policy
toward Israel. (If any intelligence officers could not perceive this,
they would be abysmally poor analysts.) The message to intelligence
officers is clear: Their work will be acceptable only if it conforms to
dominant policy views. This standard is exactly the opposite of what a
professional and impartial intelligence service should provide.
The
application of this or any other litmus test regarding policy views to
the filling of an intelligence position is contrary to the very nature
of intelligence, which does not make policy. It is contrary to the
concept that good intelligence officers are bright, perceptive,
creative, and committed people -- and thus are bound to have their own
views on policy, including foreign policy -- but do not let those
personal views intrude into the performance of their jobs. That concept
applies both to career intelligence officers and to anyone appointed to
senior positions from the outside, à la Freeman. (The difference is
that those from the outside have had earlier opportunities to express
their policy views in public.)
Americans place heavy
expectations on their intelligence officers to save them from the
follies of their elected leaders, and from the public's own delusions
or inattention. Those expectations became enormous in recent years
because of the Iraq war, which the Bush administration had sold to the
public through an assiduous campaign that involved the twisting and
selective exploitation of intelligence. As the national intelligence
officer for the Near East and South Asia from 2000 and 2005, I saw
firsthand how the intelligence community was expected to make judgments
that others would use as a politically convenient substitute for making
their own judgments about policy, to articulate details about those
judgments that others did not make time to absorb, to resist the
excesses of a propagandizing administration that others did not resist,
to convey politically inconvenient truths to the public while others
who were much better positioned to speak publicly did not convey them,
to force water down the throat of a policymaking horse that not only
did not want to drink but did not even want to be led to the water, and
to call the horse to account while it was stomping on the intelligence
community's chest with its hooves.
A fundamental impediment to
the intelligence community's meeting such expectations is that it is as
much a part of the executive branch, commanded by the president, as
those who make policy. It is extremely difficult to try to perform
the sort of miracle work that those who have soured on the Iraq war
have come to expect from intelligence officers without becoming
vulnerable to the charge -- which we also heard repeatedly in recent
years from proponents of the war -- that officers who begin to sound
out of step with the administration's message are pursuing their own
policy agenda. This is why there is a long history in the United States
of intelligence bending to policy imperatives, even in environments
less intense than the one the Bush administration created regarding
Iraq. The intelligence community needs all the encouragement it can get
-- not just retrospective recriminations -- to exercise any
independence at all.
The Freeman affair gives it the opposite of
such encouragement. If even a former ambassador, speaking out as a
private citizen, has crossed a line rendering him ineligible for
service in the intelligence community, the lines constraining those
already within the intelligence bureaucracy are several times more
confining. And the confining has to do not just with public statements
but with privately rendered judgments.
The main impact of this
affair on intelligence work is not likely to involve the Arab-Israeli
dispute, even though it is what concerns those who shot down Freeman.
The most important facts and patterns about that tragic conflict are an
open book; we don't need the National Intelligence Council to tell us
the implications of continued expansion of Israeli settlements, the
consequences of rockets fired at Israelis, or the effects of unending
occupation on the emotions of those under occupation. The main effects
will instead come, perhaps subtly and invisibly, with other issues on
which a dominant policy imperative emerges -- such as the Iraq war,
though not necessarily with as intense an environment as what the Bush
administration created to sell that initiative. The effects will
consist of intelligence officers being at least marginally less willing
than they otherwise would be to challenge the ethos surrounding the
policy and to point out ways in which the policy might be misguided.
Some such policies will be misguided, will come a cropper, and will
lead to the usual recriminations about how intelligence failed.
When
that happens, those in Congress and elsewhere who acquiesced in the
character assassination of Chas Freeman -- or even worse, participated
in it -- should ponder two things about intelligence. First, they
should ask how they could expect intelligence officers to show
superlative courage in bucking political orthodoxy when they showed so
little themselves. Second, they should reflect on how their own
pusillanimity in the face of the lobby that gunned down Freeman has
made it even less likely that intelligence officers will be able to
muster such courage in the future.
Paul R. Pillar is a 28-year veteran of the Central Intelligence Agency and a visiting professor at Georgetown University.
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