How Venezuela came to claim the region's highest murder rate.
THOMAS COEX/AFP/Getty Images
Facing their crimes: Poor policing, a troubled justice system, and impudent politics have helped Venezuela claim the title, murder capital of the Americas.
Mention violence in
Latin America today and most people think of Mexico. But if you want to talk
about murder, the region's hot spot is somewhere else entirely: Venezuela. After
a decade under President Hugo Chávez, Venezuela's homicide rate has increased
by about 140 percent, making Venezuela one of the most violent countries in the
world. Even in the context of Latin America, where homicide rates hover at
three times the global average, Venezuela now holds top rank -- by far the
highest in South America, with a violent death rate of 48 per 100,000 -- more
than twice that of Mexico. These murders occur mostly at night and spike every
two weeks around payday. Young people are increasingly the victims, three times
more likely to be killed today than 10 years ago.
Not surprisingly, Venezuelans
see crime and public safety as the No. 1 challenge for their country.
According to Latinobarometer, a well-regarded regional polling agency, Venezuela
is the only Latin American country where crime is cited as both the most
important national and personal issue. The violence was a major issue in last
November's regional elections, with both Chavistas and opposition leaders
blaming their opponents for the scourge. Perhaps unsure who was culpable,
voters split their allegiance and the vote was a draw.
It's no surprise that
no one has been able to peg blame on any one factor, since Venezuela's violence
problem derives from a number of sources -- from an ill-equipped police
department to a dysfunctional justice system. And as the Chávez
administration has pushed the legal limits of democracy, undermining
institutions along the way, cascading impunity has spread through the system.
Rule through ill example has helped push what was always a high murder rate
through the roof.
Part of the problem reflects
the regional context as Venezuela, like many of its neighbors, has been host to the growing cocaine trade. The U.S.
Drug Enforcement Agency (which Chávez kicked out of Venezuela in 2005) claims drug
shipments passing through the country have increased 10-fold during Chávez's
tenure. The U.N. Office on Drugs and Crime has also tracked
Venezuela's growing role in the drug trade, and believes it is now the major
transit country for shipments to Europe. This surely accounts for some of the
rise in violence -- but not all.
Other problems are very much internal. Starting with the basics, the Venezuelan
police have neither the ability, nor skills, nor an interest in properly
investigating crimes. In promotions, loyalty is often prized over capacity.
Some also suggest the government has encouraged the selective enforcement of
its laws -- for instance, ignoring tire-burning and petty crime in working-class
neighborhoods in order to avoid conflict with Chávez's support base, the
country's poor. It's a slippery slope; allowing these petty infractions
contributes to a climate of lawlessness, opening the door to more-serious and
violent crimes, murder among them. And mistrust of the police might actually be
enabling more crime: National polls show that the vast majority of citizens
believe the police are involved in many of the crimes committed; a full
one fourth of respondents claim the police are behind nearly all crimes.As a result, most crimes are not even
reported.
The
justice system is equally troubled. Only three of every 100 murderers are
actually sentenced. Courts are underfunded and politicized, as they often serve
the interest of the government over justice. Some experts in fact link a rise
in police brutality to a lack of confidence in the judiciary: Police officers
are more inclined to take justice into their own hands, knowing the courts will
be unable or unwilling to intercede.
But
Chávez's particular way of governing also contributes to making Venezuela an
increasingly lawless place. During his weekly address, "Alo Presidente," and
other speeches, Chávez frequently incites violence against anti government
protesters; justifies law-breaking that advances the "socialist revolution";
accuses political figures, the media, and others of crimes; and calls on the
citizenry to take law enforcement into its own hands. After a decade of
Chávez's rule, respect for the rule of law has dwindled. Those who support the
president feel they can act with impunity, while those who oppose him often
fear even expressing themselves.
Until
recently, Venezuela could have done something about all this. It certainly had
the fiscal wherewithal to revamp the system. Several years of high oil prices
allowed Chávez's government to quadruple spending from $17 billion in 2003 to more than $70 billion for 2009. Billions of these dollars went to the Misiones Bolivarianas, Chávez's
centerpiece redistribution programs to bring healthcare, literacy programs,
housing, and subsidized food to Venezuela's citizens.
But,
unexpectedly, even as poverty in Venezuela decreased, crime rates skyrocketed.
Very little from the oil bonanza trickled down to a basic security system
desperately in need of an overhaul, even
as Chávez purchased enough submarines, aircrafts, helicopters, and arms --
including more than 100,000 AK-47-type rifles -- from Russia and China to double
the defense budget. The president responded to the concern over crime by
creating a centralized National Police Force to eventually replace
Venezuela's numerous local forces. This solution does nothing to address Venezuela's
fundamental problem or strengthen Venezuela's institutions, instead just layering
on a new force that lacks skills and is prone to politicization.
And
the news gets even more grim. Venezuela's economy is declining in tandem with falling oil
prices, so crimes of need are likely to increase. Meanwhile, Chávez has upped
his attacks against the opposition: stripping the new opposition mayor of
Caracas of much of his authority, accusing the TV station Globovision of "media
terrorism" and threatening to close it down, and bringing what may yet prove to
be unfounded corruption charges against prominent opposition leaders.
The
result of this is to create a feedback loop that exacerbates crime; impunity at
the top reverberates through society. As the independence of the electoral
commission, the judiciary, the military, and the media is compromised, the
legitimacy of other state institutions follows. As attacks on the opposition
grow bolder, so too does related violence. As the Venezuelan government moves farther down the
path to authoritarian rule, law enforcement institutions are following, bending
and breaking the rules as necessary.
Venezuela's
institutions are threatened not just by drug traffickers, organized crime, or
guerrillas, but also by the decisions of elected officials. It is this challenge
the Venezuelans now face, holding in the balance their safety, their
prosperity, and increasingly, their very lives.
Shannon
O'Neil is the Douglas Dillon fellow for Latin America studies at the Council on
Foreign Relations and publishes the blog www.latintelligence.com.
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