Last stand? Ahmadinejad arrives at a news conference in Tehran on May 25. "Ahmadi bye-bye" and "If they don't cheat, Mousavi will win" have become popular chants among Mousavi supporters. Ahmadinejad's and Mousavi's campaigns expect a close race. There are no credible polls, but one conducted for the government in early May found 58.6 percent for Ahmadinejad and 21.9 percent for Mousavi. A mid-May poll conducted by the state broadcaster put 47 percent of Tehran's vote for Mousavi and 43 percent for Ahmadinejad. At this point, anything could happen on June 12, including Ahmadi bye-bye.